Galaxy Research Lowers CLARITY Act Passage Odds Amid Senate Gridlock
Galaxy Research has reduced its 2026 forecast for the CLARITY Act's passage from 60% to 50%, citing legislative bottlenecks and unresolved ethics provisions. The crypto market structure bill cleared the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with bipartisan support (15-9 vote), but faces mounting headwinds as Senate priorities shift.
The bill's progress stalls at #423 on the legislative calendar with no floor debate scheduled. With the August recess looming, analysts note fewer than five viable legislative weeks remain. Recent delays include a week lost to debates over an anti-weaponization fund.
Democratic demands for stricter ethics provisions remain the key sticking point. Market participants now watch for July developments - if no timetable emerges, consideration could slip to September or beyond.
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